Decision guides

Start with the decision, not the bias name.

You do not need to know a psychology term first. Choose the situation you are facing, then use a small set of evidence-reviewed questions to test the decision.

Decision guides

Projects & work decisions

Estimate work, review results and decide whether a project should continue, change or stop.

Decision guide

Work & project decisions

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a team is choosing a direction, interpreting results, deciding whether to continue, or turning metrics into action.

6 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guide

Project estimation & delivery

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when setting a deadline, estimating effort, discussing delivery risk, or learning from a project that finished later than expected.

6 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guides

Metrics, KPIs & evaluation

Check whether a score still represents the real objective, whether the evaluation is becoming the target, and what evidence could show the proxy is failing.

Decision guide

Reviewing KPIs & proxy metrics

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a team is using scores, dashboards, targets, benchmarks, or AI evaluations to represent a broader objective.

4 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guides

Memory & change over time

Separate personal memory, emotional change and measurable historical trends when the past seems better than the present.

Decision guide

Was the past really better?

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a personal memory or broad story about decline is being used to compare the present with an earlier period.

3 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guides

Claims, forecasts & uncertainty

Check information, estimate uncertain outcomes and keep vivid or repeated examples from replacing broader evidence.

Decision guide

Forecasting & future choices

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when estimating uncertainty, imagining future feelings or preferences, or reviewing forecasts after the outcome is known.

6 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guide

Checking claims & misinformation

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when deciding whether a repeated claim is trustworthy, checking a correction, or testing an explanation against plausible alternatives.

6 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guides

AI-assisted decisions

Use AI recommendations without confusing fluency, repetition or a suggested number with independent evidence.

Decision guide

AI-assisted decisions

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a chatbot, model, recommendation system, or automated decision aid is influencing what you believe or do.

6 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guides

Interfaces, pricing & choice design

Review how risk wording, defaults, starting values and option sets can change what looks attractive.

Decision guide

Presenting risk & options

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a report, interface, model, or recommendation is presenting numbers and choices that other people will use to decide.

5 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guide

Defaults, settings & choice architecture

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when a form, product, policy or system decides what happens if a person does nothing, or when an existing setting is difficult to reconsider.

4 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →

Decision guide

Comparing plans & pricing

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when comparing subscription tiers, product plans, vendor offers or recommendation menus where the way options are arranged may change what looks attractive.

4 evidence-reviewed lensesOpen guide →