Decision context

Checking claims & misinformation

Use these evidence-reviewed lenses when deciding whether a repeated claim is trustworthy, checking a correction, or testing an explanation against plausible alternatives.

Use this context when

Start from the situation, not a label.

Evidence-reviewed lenses

6 patterns worth testing, not diagnosing.

well established, broad constructEvidence

Confirmation Bias – when a belief shapes how evidence is searched and judged

Am I using the same evidence standard for information that supports and challenges the claim?

Confirmation bias is an umbrella label for several ways existing beliefs or hypotheses can influence information search and interpretation. It should not be reduced to one behaviour such as reading only agreeable news, and a preference for confirming tests is not irrational in every task or environment.

established in hypothesis-testing tasks; narrower than confirmation biasEvidence

Congruence Bias – when the test fits one hypothesis but does not separate alternatives

Would this test distinguish the preferred explanation from plausible alternatives, or would they predict the same result?

Congruence Bias is a narrower hypothesis-testing pattern than the broad umbrella of confirmation bias. In classic work, people overvalued tests that were likely to return a positive result if their leading hypothesis were true, even when other tests were more diagnostic among competing hypotheses. The useful claim is not that every positive test is irrational: a positive test strategy can be efficient in some environments, and the problem depends on whether the chosen test can actually distinguish the focal hypothesis from alternatives.

established heuristic; bias is context-dependentEvidence

Availability Heuristic – when easy-to-recall examples shape frequency judgments

Is the example easy to recall because it is representative, or because it is vivid, recent, emotional, or repeated?

Availability is a judgment heuristic: people can use how easily examples or scenarios come to mind when estimating frequency or probability. That shortcut is not automatically an error because memorable or accessible examples can correlate with real frequency. Bias appears when accessibility is driven by factors that are not diagnostic of the quantity being judged.

well-established persistence after correction; corrections usually still helpEvidence

Continued Influence Effect – when corrected information still shapes reasoning

After the correction, am I still using part of the old information when explaining or judging the situation?

The continued influence effect describes a specific pattern: false or outdated information can keep affecting later reasoning even after a clear correction. It does not mean the correction had no effect, that the person rejected the correction, or that belief in the false claim became stronger. Corrections often reduce misinformation reliance without removing it completely. That distinction matters because continued influence is much broader than the rarer backfire outcome.

mixed / conditionalEvidence

Backfire Effect – when a correction can strengthen a false belief

Did belief in the corrected false claim actually become stronger, or am I calling disagreement or incomplete updating a backfire?

Corrections usually improve factual accuracy. A true backfire effect, where a correction makes the targeted false belief stronger, appears to be uncommon and sensitive to context and measurement. It should not be treated as the default response to being corrected.

Decision workflow

Turn the context into observable questions.

  1. 1

    Write the exact claim you are checking. Separate the claim itself from your opinion about the person or source sharing it.

  2. 2

    Trace repeated versions back to genuinely independent sources. Ten repetitions of one source are still one source.

  3. 3

    Write what evidence would make the preferred claim weaker or wrong before gathering another round of support.

  4. 4

    List at least one plausible alternative explanation. For an important test, predict the result under both explanations and prefer observations where their predictions differ.

  5. 5

    Use the same evidence-quality standard for results that support and challenge the preferred explanation.

  6. 6

    If a correction is needed, state the corrected information clearly and provide the best supported alternative explanation when one is available.

  7. 7

    After a correction, distinguish incomplete updating from backfire. Ask whether belief in the false claim actually became stronger or whether some influence simply remained.

Open a blank Decision Audit

Practice this context

Can you match the question to the lens?

Open 6 practice exercises