Learning & Review · interactive demo
Does the Outcome Change How Good the Decision Looks?
Rate the same decision process after either a lucky or unlucky result.
Question
Can knowing the outcome change how people judge the quality of the earlier decision process?
This is an educational demonstration, not a scientific measurement of you. One response cannot show that a bias caused your choice.
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Random condition
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Evidence-reviewed lens
Outcome Bias
Outcome bias occurs when knowledge of a result changes how people evaluate the quality of a decision even when the information available at the time of the decision is held constant. Outcomes can still be relevant for learning, so the error is not 'never look at results'; it is using luck or hindsight as if it had been available to the original decision-maker.
Why a Good Result Does Not Always Mean a Good Decision · Work & project decisions
How to interpret this
A good process can have a bad result under uncertainty, and a weak process can sometimes get lucky. Review both separately.
Better check: Score the decision using only information available before the outcome, then review the result as a separate learning signal.