Mechanism family · v2 taxonomy
Future state forecasting
Patterns involving predictions about future feelings, preferences, and behavior when current or imagined states are an imperfect guide to the future state.
Reviewed mapping
3 canonical entries currently belong to this family.
This hub combines direct category mappings with record-level reviews. Duplicate aliases and ambiguous entries stay outside the family discovery layer.
Self-AssessmentHot–Cold Empathy Gap – when one state is a poor guide to choices in anotherCold Empathy Gap is the difficulty of predicting preferences, behavior, or experience across different visceral or affective states. In a relatively cold state, people can underappRead entry Cognitive BiasImpact Bias – when forecasts overstate future emotional reactionsImpact bias is a forecasting error in which people overestimate the intensity or duration of a future emotional reaction. An imagined event can occupy the whole forecast while the Read entry Cognitive BiasProjection Bias – when current preferences shape forecasts of future preferencesProjection bias is overprojecting current tastes or temporary states onto future preferences. We may understand that our preferences will change but underestimate the size of that Read entry
