Reasoning Practice · Starter

Ten articles repeat one report

A claim appears in ten articles. Following the links shows that nine articles cite the tenth, which cites one small report.

Your decision

What should determine confidence?

  1. A

    The number of pages containing the sentence.

  2. B

    The quality of the original report and any genuinely independent evidence.

  3. C

    How high the articles rank in search results.

Show the best first move

B. The quality of the original report and any genuinely independent evidence.

Why this move helps

Ten repetitions do not equal ten independent observations. Source tracing reveals the evidence structure behind the apparent agreement.

Evidence still missing

  • Method and sample of the original report.
  • Independent replications or datasets.
  • Whether later articles add new evidence or only repeat the claim.

Evidence note

Illusory truth may make the repeated claim feel more credible. The main operational problem is source dependence, which can be checked directly.

Next action

Draw a simple source tree and assess each independent root.

Best first lens

Illusory Truth Effect

Use the lens to ask a better question. It does not prove that a person or team has a cognitive bias.

Read the evidence review

Other defensible lenses

The situation may have more than one explanation.

Continue the path

Situation → skill → technique → action.

SituationChecking a repeated claim

Test whether repetition represents independent evidence or only makes a claim feel familiar.

Open situation →
SkillInformation verification

You can verify important claims without treating repetition as independent confirmation.

Build this skill →
TechniqueSource trace

Separate independent evidence from repetition and generated summaries.

Run the technique →

All reasoning scenarios